SMAUG model – a basis for prioritizing hazard risks




In emergency or disaster management the SMAUG model of identifying and prioritizing risk of hazards associated with natural and technological threats is an effective tool. SMAUG stands for Seriousness, Manageability, Acceptability, Urgency and Growth and are the criteria used for prioritization of hazard risks. The SMAUG model provides an effective means of prioritizing hazard risks based upon the aforementioned criteria in order to address the risks posed by the hazards to the avail of effecting effective mitigation, reduction, response and recovery methods.

Seriousness
"The relative impact in terms of people and dollars," which includes the potential for lives to be lost and potential for injury as well as the physical, social, and economic losses that may be incurred.
Manageability
The "relative ability to mitigate or reduce the hazard (through managing the hazard, or the community or both)". Hazards presenting a high risk and as such requiring significant amounts of risk reduction initiatives will be rated high.
Acceptability
The degree to which the risk of hazard is acceptable in terms of political, environmental, social and economic impact
Urgency
This is related to the probability of risk of hazard and is defined in terms of how imperative it is to address the hazard
Growth
The potential for the hazard or event to expand or increase in either probability or risk to community or both. Should vulnerability increase, potential for growth may also increase.

An example of the numerical ratings for each of the four criteria is shown below:

Manageability High = 7+ Medium = 5–7 Low = 0–4
Urgency High = <20yr Medium = >20yr Low = 100yrs
Acceptability High priority – poses more significant risk low priority – Lower risk of hazard impact
Growth High = 3 Medium = 2 Low = 1
Seriousness High = 4–5 Medium = 2–3 Low = 0–1

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